Tour make percentage by distance — 1 to 50 feet. Based on Mark Broadie's Strokes Gained research. Know your real odds before you pull the trigger.
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50%
Make rate at 8ft
~32ft
2-putt break-even
1%
Make rate at 31ft
<1%
Beyond 31ft
Dist
1-Putt %
Face Angle Tol.
Make Probability
Zone
Source: Mark Broadie, "Putts Gained: Measuring Putting on the PGA Tour", Columbia University, 2011.
Make % shown to 31ft only — beyond this distance tour make rates are negligible (<1%). Break-even point ~32–33ft.
Face Angle Tolerance: calculated as arctan(hole radius / distance) — assumes die-at-the-hole speed, 4.25" cup diameter.
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